Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass has outlined how he picks pharma patents to challenge for his new money-spinning project. The project is underpinned by two emerging assets commonly thought of as a potential boon for drug developers: large data sets and algorithms with which to interrogate them.
The speculation is building this week that Pfizer will either attempt another megadeal with GlaxoSmithKline or another run on AstraZeneca. Either would cut Pfizer's tax rate and give it some products to salve its various ills, lackluster stock price and poor performing portfolio. But the new thinking, like in the last 24 hours, is that smaller deals, perhaps a buyout of Shire or even Perrigo, or both, are better bets.
When Vyvanse in February won the FDA's first-ever approval for binge eating disorder (BED), Shire predicted the indication could help the med rake in an extra $200 million to $300 million. Shire is already making its way there, it said Thursday, and the new sales helped the company notch a Q1 profit beat.
Shire picked up the FDA's promise of a fast review for its new dry eye drug, a treatment the company believes can eventually bring in more than $1 billion a year.
Two months ago Shire CEO Flemming Ornskov held up the rare liver disease drug SHP625 as a prime example of its most promising development programs. Today, though, Shire was forced to concede that the drug flopped against both the primary and secondary endpoints in the first of several Phase II studies.
Shire has said it's targeting $10 billion in sales by 2020, with $3 billion of that coming from its current pipeline. Now, it looks like an ADHD product waiting in the wings could be ready in time to help it get there.
The M&A rumor mill was churning Friday morning on reports of an in-the-works Shire ($SHPG) deal for orphan drugmaker BioMarin Pharmaceuticals.
Shire is an acquisitive company with a focus on rare diseases. BioMarin fits the same description. A blog post that, by its own admission, "might be codswallop," reported that the former is considering buying the latter. And those three facts combined to send the shares of BioMarin, far from a penny stock, up as much as 15% on Friday, illustrating how the biotech boom has changed Wall Street's perception of the drug industry.
Industry watchers well know that U.S. drug spending is rising--a lot. And they also know that it's likely to continue over the next few years if some major changes don't occur. But which medical conditions will be responsible for the swelling tide? Some of those may surprise you.
As Endo showed last week with its failed $10 billion bid for North Carolina's Salix, it's willing to shell out some serious dough if the right target comes along. The question is, what's left?